Jalen Guyton Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Jalen Guyton

NFL · Player Props

Jalen Guyton

WR · Los Angeles Chargers

Receiving Yards

Los Angeles Chargers vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 11, 2022 11:34 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Guyton Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (+108/-142).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -131 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -142.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers as the 10th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 62.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 7th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 65.4 plays per game.
Jalen Guyton has been among the most efficient pass-catchers in the NFL, averaging a terrific 9.43 yards-per-target since the start of last season while checking in at the 83rd percentile among WRs.
The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has given up the 9th-highest Completion% in the league (67.7%) versus wide receivers since the start of last season (67.7%).
The Los Angeles Chargers have been faced with a stacked the box on 18.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-most in the league. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

The Chargers are a 3.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.
The Las Vegas Raiders defense has given up the 2nd-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 121.0) vs. wideouts since the start of last season.
The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has displayed good efficiency versus wideouts since the start of last season, conceding 7.34 yards-per-target to the position: the 3rd-least in football.
The Las Vegas Raiders defensive ends rank as the 3rd-best unit in football since the start of last season when it comes to pass rush.

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