Jaleel McLaughlin Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Jaleel McLaughlin

NFL · Player Props

Jaleel McLaughlin

RB · Denver Broncos

Rushing Yards

Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 8:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Jaleel McLaughlin Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With an exceptional record of 6.76 adjusted yards per carry (98th percentile), Jaleel McLaughlin ranks among the leading running backs in the league this year.
This year, the daunting Chiefs run defense has allowed a paltry 4.55 adjusted yards-per-carry to opposing rushing attacks: the 23rd-smallest rate in the NFL.
The Chiefs safeties grade out as the 28th-worst safety corps in football this year in regard to run defense.

Favors Under

This game's line suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Broncos, who are giant -7-point underdogs.
The model projects the Broncos to call the 6th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.5 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Broncos this year (just 51.1 per game on average).

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