Jaleel McLaughlin Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Jaleel McLaughlin

NFL · Player Props

Jaleel McLaughlin

RB · Denver Broncos

Rushing Yards

Detroit Lions vs Denver Broncos · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 12:36 AM UTC

Analysis

Jaleel McLaughlin Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With a 41.4% rate of running the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 7th-most run-focused team in the league has been the Broncos.
Jaleel McLaughlin's rushing efficiency (5.40 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in football this year (93rd percentile among running backs).
Jaleel McLaughlin profiles as one of the leading running backs in football at generating extra ground yardage, averaging a stellar 3.66 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 94th percentile.

Favors Under

A throwing game script is implied by the Broncos being a -4.5-point underdog in this game.
Our trusted projections expect the Broncos to run the 2nd-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 61.6 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The Denver Broncos have called the 3rd-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 53.6 plays per game.
The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline.
The Detroit Lions defense boasts the 6th-best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, yielding just 3.91 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).

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