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Jaleel McLaughlin

Jaleel McLaughlin Receptions
Player Prop Week 19

Buffalo Bills vs Denver Broncos

Jaleel McLaughlin Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-170/+140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -170.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Broncos are a big 7.5-point underdog this week, which points towards an extreme passing game script.

The predictive model expects the Broncos as the 3rd-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 59.7% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast this game to have the fewest plays run on the slate this week at 132.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Buffalo Bills defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the 8th-most passes in football (33.9 per game) this year.

In regards to pass protection (and the positive effect it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Denver Broncos ranks as the best in football this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This year, the imposing Bills defense has given up a puny 79.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing running backs: the 5th-lowest rate in the NFL.

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