My Account Log Out

reorder

Jaleel McLaughlin

Jaleel McLaughlin Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 19

Buffalo Bills vs Denver Broncos

Jaleel McLaughlin Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-110/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Broncos are a big 7.5-point underdog this week, which points towards an extreme passing game script.

The predictive model expects the Broncos as the 3rd-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 59.7% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast this game to have the fewest plays run on the slate this week at 132.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Buffalo Bills defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the 8th-most passes in football (33.9 per game) this year.

In regards to pass protection (and the positive effect it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Denver Broncos ranks as the best in football this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jaleel McLaughlin has put up a puny -6.0 air yards per game this year: just 4th percentile among running backs.

Jaleel McLaughlin's 5.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year signifies a material reduction in his pass-catching talent over last year's 10.0 rate.

Jaleel McLaughlin's pass-game effectiveness has declined this season, notching a mere 3.13 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 4.86 rate last season.

Jaleel McLaughlin's 6.67 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year reflects a material diminishment in his efficiency in space over last year's 9.1% mark.

This year, the imposing Bills defense has given up a puny 79.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing running backs: the 5th-lowest rate in the NFL.

More Jaleel McLaughlin Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™