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Jaleel McLaughlin

Jaleel McLaughlin Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Cincinnati Bengals vs Denver Broncos

Jaleel McLaughlin Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Broncos are underdogs in this game, indicating more of an emphasis on throwing than their usual approach.

The model projects the Broncos to be the 10th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 59.1% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

With regard to a defense's impact on tempo, at 27.33 seconds per snap, the projections expect the Broncos to be the 4th-quickest in football (adjusted for context) right now.

The forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and lower rush volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

The Cincinnati Bengals defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, leading opposing QBs to attempt the 9th-most passes in football (35.7 per game) this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

When it comes to air yards, Jaleel McLaughlin grades out in the paltry 4th percentile among RBs this year, with just -6.0 per game.

Jaleel McLaughlin's 4.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season illustrates a meaningful reduction in his pass-catching talent over last season's 10.0 rate.

Jaleel McLaughlin's pass-game effectiveness has tailed off this year, accumulating a measly 2.93 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 4.86 figure last year.

Jaleel McLaughlin's 6.40 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season shows a substantial diminishment in his effectiveness in picking up extra yardage over last season's 9.1% rate.

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