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Jaleel McLaughlin

Jaleel McLaughlin Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Denver Broncos vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Jaleel McLaughlin Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Broncos are expected by our trusted projection set to run 66.9 total plays in this game: the 6th-highest number on the slate this week.
  • When it comes to protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all passing offense metrics), the offensive line of the Broncos grades out as the 2nd-best in football this year.
  • Jaleel McLaughlin's sure-handedness have been refined this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate rising from 84.2% to 94.6%.
  • As it relates to linebackers in covering receivers, Indianapolis's group of LBs has been dreadful this year, projecting as the 4th-worst in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 4.5-point advantage, the Broncos are favored this week, indicating more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical approach.
  • The model projects the Broncos to be the 7th-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 54.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may drop-off.
  • Jaleel McLaughlin has notched a feeble -6.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 4th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • Jaleel McLaughlin has notched quite a few less adjusted receiving yards per game (4.0) this season than he did last season (10.0).

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