Jakobi Meyers Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Jakobi Meyers

NFL · Player Props

Jakobi Meyers

WR · Las Vegas Raiders

Receptions

Las Vegas Raiders vs New York Giants · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 6, 2023 12:51 AM UTC

Analysis

Jakobi Meyers Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Jakobi Meyers has run a route on 92.0% of his offense's dropbacks this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
The leading projections forecast Jakobi Meyers to total 7.2 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 81st percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
The Raiders offensive line grades out as the best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
With a terrific 5.5 adjusted receptions per game (90th percentile) this year, Jakobi Meyers rates as one of the leading WRs in the game in the NFL.

Favors Under

Right now, the 6th-least pass-heavy team in football (58.2% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Las Vegas Raiders.
Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Raiders are projected by the projections to run only 60.4 total plays in this contest: the fewest on the slate this week.
The fewest plays in football have been run by the Las Vegas Raiders this year (only 52.9 per game on average).
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 33.2 pass attempts per game against the Giants defense this year: 6th-fewest in the league.
Jakobi Meyers's 67.0% Adjusted Completion% this season illustrates a remarkable decline in his pass-catching talent over last season's 72.6% figure.

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