Jakobi Meyers Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Jakobi Meyers

NFL · Player Props

Jakobi Meyers

WR · Las Vegas Raiders

Receptions

Chicago Bears vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 7, 2023

Updated Oct 22, 2023 11:16 PM UTC

Analysis

Jakobi Meyers Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-140/+110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Raiders will be rolling out backup QB Brian Hoyer in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The Chicago Bears defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, enticing opposing offenses to attempt the 9th-most passes in football (37.5 per game) this year.
The predictive model expects Jakobi Meyers to garner 7.1 targets this week, on balance, placing him in the 75th percentile among WRs.
With a RATE1-RATE2 point boost in WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive volume) from last year to this one, Jakobi Meyers has been more heavily utilized in his offense's passing attack.
When it comes to pass protection (and the positive impact it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Las Vegas Raiders profiles as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year.

Favors Under

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Las Vegas Raiders to pass on 54.0% of their plays: the 5th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
Our trusted projections expect the Raiders to call the fewest total plays among all teams this week with 60.0 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Raiders have run the 6th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a mere 54.2 plays per game.

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