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Jakobi Meyers

Jakobi Meyers Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Las Vegas Raiders vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Jakobi Meyers Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+140/-185).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -170 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline.
  • Jakobi Meyers has run a route on 91.3% of his offense's passing plays this year, putting him in the 87th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
  • The predictive model expects Jakobi Meyers to total 7.2 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 82nd percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
  • In regards to pass protection (and the positive effect it has on all passing game statistics), the O-line of the Las Vegas Raiders profiles as the best in football this year.
  • With a stellar 5.0 adjusted catches per game (87th percentile) this year, Jakobi Meyers places as one of the leading WRs in the league in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Raiders as the 7th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 56.0% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Las Vegas Raiders are anticipated by the projection model to call just 62.0 plays on offense in this game: the 3rd-lowest number among all teams this week.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have run the 2nd-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a mere 53.2 plays per game.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 33.5 pass attempts per game vs. the New York Jets defense this year: 6th-fewest in football.
  • Jakobi Meyers's 64.5% Adjusted Completion Rate this year reflects a significant regression in his receiving proficiency over last year's 72.6% mark.

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