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Jakobi Meyers

Jakobi Meyers Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

New York Jets vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Jakobi Meyers Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+140/-170).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The weather forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Jakobi Meyers's 57.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the league leaders: 87th percentile for wide receivers.
  • The New England Patriots offensive line grades out as the 6th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.
  • Jakobi Meyers has been among the best WRs in the league this year, averaging a stellar 5.2 receptions per game while grading out in the 88th percentile.
  • Jakobi Meyers's ball-catching skills have been refined this season, with his Completion% rising from 69.1% to 78.6%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Patriots are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots to be the 6th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 54.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to call the 10th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.7 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The New England Patriots have called the 6th-least plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 53.6 plays per game.
  • The New York Jets pass defense has allowed the 6th-lowest Completion% in the league (63%) versus wide receivers this year (63.0%).

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