Jakobi Meyers Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+140/-170).
Key Factors
Favors Over
The weather forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Jakobi Meyers's 57.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the league leaders: 87th percentile for wide receivers.
The New England Patriots offensive line grades out as the 6th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.
Jakobi Meyers has been among the best WRs in the league this year, averaging a stellar 5.2 receptions per game while grading out in the 88th percentile.
Jakobi Meyers's ball-catching skills have been refined this season, with his Completion% rising from 69.1% to 78.6%.
Favors Under
The Patriots are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots to be the 6th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 54.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to call the 10th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.7 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New England Patriots have called the 6th-least plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 53.6 plays per game.
The New York Jets pass defense has allowed the 6th-lowest Completion% in the league (63%) versus wide receivers this year (63.0%).