Jakobi Meyers Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Jakobi Meyers

NFL · Player Props

Jakobi Meyers

WR · Las Vegas Raiders

Receiving Yards

Las Vegas Raiders vs Green Bay Packers · Week 5, 2023

Updated Oct 10, 2023 2:51 AM UTC

Analysis

Jakobi Meyers Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 51.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 49.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 51.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The leading projections forecast Jakobi Meyers to notch 8.0 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 88th percentile among WRs.
Jakobi Meyers has been a big part of his team's passing attack, posting a Target Share of 24.3% this year, which puts him in the 87th percentile among WRs.
Jakobi Meyers has put up a whopping 71.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 82nd percentile when it comes to wideouts.
The the Las Vegas Raiders offensive line profiles as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive influence on all pass game metrics across the board.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Las Vegas Raiders as the 8th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 60.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is anticipated by the model to have only 123.6 offensive plays run: the fewest among all games this week.
The Las Vegas Raiders have called the fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 51.8 plays per game.
This year, the fierce Green Bay Packers pass defense has given up the 6th-least yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing WRs: a paltry 4.0 YAC.
As it relates to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Green Bay's unit has been excellent this year, projecting as the 6th-best in the NFL.

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