Jakobi Meyers Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Jakobi Meyers

NFL · Player Props

Jakobi Meyers

WR · New England Patriots

Receiving Yards

New York Jets vs New England Patriots · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 30, 2022 4:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Jakobi Meyers Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (+103/-136).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 48.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 49.5 @ +103.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The weather forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Jakobi Meyers has posted significantly more air yards this season (76.0 per game) than he did last season (71.0 per game).
Jakobi Meyers's 57.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the league leaders: 87th percentile for wide receivers.
The New England Patriots offensive line grades out as the 6th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.
Jakobi Meyers has accumulated substantially more receiving yards per game (71.0) this season than he did last season (54.0).

Favors Under

The Patriots are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots to be the 6th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 54.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to call the 10th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.7 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New England Patriots have called the 6th-least plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 53.6 plays per game.
The New York Jets defense has given up the 10th-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 142.0) versus WRs this year.

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