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Jakobi Meyers

Jakobi Meyers Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Cleveland Browns vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Jakobi Meyers Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 57.5 (+120/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 57.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 57.5 @ -150.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The New England Patriots will be forced to use backup QB Bailey Zappe in this week's contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • The Patriots are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects Jakobi Meyers to notch 8.1 targets this week, on average, ranking in the 86th percentile among WRs.
  • Jakobi Meyers has accumulated a whopping 76.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 83rd percentile among wide receivers.
  • The New England Patriots O-line grades out as the 5th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all air attack stats across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots to be the 3rd-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 54.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to call the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.0 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The New England Patriots have run the 7th-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 55.4 plays per game.
  • The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 32.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 4th-least in football.

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