Jakobi Meyers Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Jakobi Meyers

NFL · Player Props

Jakobi Meyers

WR · New England Patriots

Receiving Yards

Green Bay Packers vs New England Patriots · Week 4, 2022

Updated Oct 1, 2022 6:05 PM UTC

Analysis

Jakobi Meyers Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 40.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 40.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 40.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The New England Patriots will be rolling out backup QB Brian Hoyer this week, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The Patriots are a heavy 9.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
Jakobi Meyers has run a route on 91.2% of his team's passing plays since the start of last season, ranking in the 90th percentile among wideouts.
THE BLITZ projects Jakobi Meyers to accumulate 7.5 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 85th percentile among wideouts.
Jakobi Meyers has notched a monstrous 75.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 82nd percentile among wide receivers.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots to be the 7th-least pass-centric team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 58.9% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to run the 2nd-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New England Patriots have run the 3rd-least plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 56.6 plays per game.
Jakobi Meyers has been among the weakest WRs in the NFL at picking up extra yardage, averaging a mere 3.15 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 25th percentile.
The Green Bay Packers defense has surrendered the 10th-least receiving yards per game in football (just 138.0) versus wide receivers since the start of last season.

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