Jakobi Meyers Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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NFL · Player Props

Jakobi Meyers

WR · New England Patriots

Receiving Yards

New England Patriots vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 25, 2022 1:25 PM EST

Analysis

Jakobi Meyers Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (-110/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 48.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 49.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Opposing QBs have averaged 37.2 pass attempts per game against the Baltimore Ravens defense since the start of last season: 3rd-most in football.
Jakobi Meyers has run a route on 91.2% of his team's passing plays since the start of last season, ranking in the 90th percentile among wide receivers.
THE BLITZ projects Jakobi Meyers to total 7.5 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 90th percentile among wideouts.
Jakobi Meyers has accumulated a monstrous 75.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 82nd percentile among WRs.
Jakobi Meyers has been among the top wide receivers in the game since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 57.0 yards per game while checking in at the 84th percentile.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to run the 2nd-least total plays on the slate this week with 57.7 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New England Patriots have run the 5th-least plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 60.6 plays per game.
Jakobi Meyers has been among the weakest wide receivers in the league at picking up extra yardage, averaging a mere 3.15 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 20th percentile.
The Baltimore Ravens pass defense has surrendered the 8th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (64.1%) versus wideouts since the start of last season (64.1%).
The New England Patriots O-line has allowed their QB just 2.53 seconds before the pass (8th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.