Jakobi Meyers Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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NFL · Player Props

Jakobi Meyers

WR · New England Patriots

Receiving Yards

Las Vegas Raiders vs New England Patriots · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 19, 2022 12:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Jakobi Meyers Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 45.5 (-115/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots to be the 5th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 63.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Jakobi Meyers to total 8.5 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 89th percentile among WRs.
The Las Vegas Raiders defense has allowed the 5th-most receiving yards per game in football (172.0) vs. wideouts this year.
The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has conceded the 2nd-highest Completion% in the league (71%) vs. wide receivers this year (71.0%).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-least plays run among all games this week at 127.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The New England Patriots have run the 4th-least plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 53.9 plays per game.
The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has been quite strong when opposing WRs have gotten into space, conceding an average of 3.73 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 4th-least in football.
The New England Patriots O-line has given their QB just 2.53 seconds before the pass (9th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all pass game metrics across the board.
The New England Patriots have gone no-huddle on just 2.6% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (4th-least in football). This deadens the pace, resulting in less volume and stat production.