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Jakobi Meyers

Jakobi Meyers Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills

Jakobi Meyers Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 46.5 (+105/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 50.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 46.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Patriots are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots to be the 10th-most pass-oriented offense in football (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 62.4% pass rate.

THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to run the 9th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 66.1 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects Jakobi Meyers to notch 8.4 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 89th percentile among wideouts.

Jakobi Meyers's 60.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the best in the league: 89th percentile for wideouts.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The New England Patriots have called the 6th-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 54.9 plays per game.

Jakobi Meyers has accumulated far fewer air yards this season (66.0 per game) than he did last season (71.0 per game).

The Buffalo Bills pass defense has performed very well when opposing WRs have gotten into space, giving up an average of 3.35 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 2nd-least in football.

The Buffalo Bills linebackers rank as the 2nd-best LB corps in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

The New England Patriots O-line has given their quarterback a measly 2.53 seconds before the pass (9th-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all passing game metrics across the board.

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