Jakobi Meyers Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Jakobi Meyers

NFL · Player Props

Jakobi Meyers

WR · New England Patriots

Receiving Yards

Minnesota Vikings vs New England Patriots · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 25, 2022 12:26 AM UTC

Analysis

Jakobi Meyers Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 54.5 (-165/+135).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to call the 7th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Jakobi Meyers to earn 8.9 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 92nd percentile among wideouts.
Jakobi Meyers's 60.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the best in football: 90th percentile for WRs.
Jakobi Meyers has accrued quite a few more receiving yards per game (67.0) this year than he did last year (54.0).

Favors Under

The New England Patriots have run the 6th-least plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 55.6 plays per game.
Jakobi Meyers has totaled quite a few less air yards this season (66.0 per game) than he did last season (71.0 per game).
The New England Patriots offensive line has afforded their quarterback a mere 2.53 seconds before the pass (9th-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.
The New England Patriots have gone no-huddle on just 2.6% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (4th-least in the league). This deadens the pace, leading to less volume and stat accumulation.

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