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Jakobi Meyers

Jakobi Meyers Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

New England Patriots vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Jakobi Meyers Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (+101/-133).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 48.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 49.5 @ +101.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 132.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 37.0 pass attempts per game versus the New York Jets defense this year: 8th-most in the NFL.
  • THE BLITZ projects Jakobi Meyers to accumulate 7.7 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 84th percentile among WRs.
  • Jakobi Meyers has notched a colossal 68.0 air yards per game this year: 80th percentile among WRs.
  • Jakobi Meyers's 60.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the best in football: 89th percentile for wideouts.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Patriots are a 3.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots to be the 7th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 53.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The New England Patriots have called the 6th-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 55.3 plays per game.
  • The weather forecast calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
  • The New York Jets defense has given up the 4th-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 131.0) vs. wide receivers this year.

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