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Jakobi Meyers

Jakobi Meyers Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 8

New York Jets vs New England Patriots

Jakobi Meyers Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+205/-308).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +208 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +205.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The weather forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

THE BLITZ projects Jakobi Meyers to be a much bigger part of his offense's passing game near the end zone this week (16.2% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (0.0% in games he has played).

Jakobi Meyers has posted significantly more air yards this season (76.0 per game) than he did last season (71.0 per game).

Jakobi Meyers's 57.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the league leaders: 87th percentile for wide receivers.

The New England Patriots offensive line grades out as the 6th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Patriots are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to call the 10th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.7 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The New England Patriots have called the 6th-least plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 53.6 plays per game.

The New York Jets pass defense has allowed the 6th-lowest Completion% in the league (63%) versus wide receivers this year (63.0%).

The New York Jets cornerbacks rank as the best group of CBs in football this year in covering receivers.

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