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Jakobi Meyers

Jakobi Meyers Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 12

Minnesota Vikings vs New England Patriots

Jakobi Meyers Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+250/-350).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to call the 7th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Jakobi Meyers has been a key part of his team's pass game near the goal line, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 18.5% this year, which ranks him in the 79th percentile among wideouts.

Jakobi Meyers's 60.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the best in football: 90th percentile for WRs.

Jakobi Meyers's sure-handedness have gotten better this season, with his Completion% rising from 69.1% to 79.5%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The New England Patriots have run the 6th-least plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 55.6 plays per game.

Jakobi Meyers has totaled quite a few less air yards this season (66.0 per game) than he did last season (71.0 per game).

The New England Patriots offensive line has afforded their quarterback a mere 2.53 seconds before the pass (9th-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.

The New England Patriots have gone no-huddle on just 2.6% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (4th-least in the league). This deadens the pace, leading to less volume and stat accumulation.

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