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Jakobi Meyers

Jakobi Meyers Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 11

New England Patriots vs New York Jets

Jakobi Meyers Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+230/-310).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 132.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing offenses have averaged 37.0 pass attempts per game versus the New York Jets defense this year: 8th-most in the NFL.

Jakobi Meyers has been heavily involved in his team's pass game near the goal line, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 16.7% this year, which ranks in the 77th percentile among WRs.

Jakobi Meyers has notched a colossal 68.0 air yards per game this year: 80th percentile among WRs.

Jakobi Meyers's 60.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the best in football: 89th percentile for wideouts.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Patriots are a 3.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.

The New England Patriots have called the 6th-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 55.3 plays per game.

The weather forecast calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.

The New York Jets pass defense has allowed the 2nd-lowest Completion% in the NFL (60.8%) versus wideouts this year (60.8%).

The New York Jets cornerbacks grade out as the best CB corps in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

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