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Jake Ferguson

Jake Ferguson Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Dallas Cowboys vs Detroit Lions

Jake Ferguson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+122/-160).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +126 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +122.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Dallas Cowboys to pass on 62.5% of their downs: the 2nd-highest clip among all teams this week.

Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Cowboys are predicted by our trusted projection set to run 66.4 offensive plays in this game: the 3rd-most on the slate this week.

The Cowboys have run the 6th-most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 60.4 plays per game.

The passing games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.

The Detroit Lions defense has been something of pass funnel this year, causing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 4th-most passes in the league (41.2 per game) this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Dallas Cowboys O-line grades out as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all pass game stats across the board.

Since the start of last season, the strong Lions defense has conceded a measly 66.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing TEs: the smallest rate in football.

The Lions safeties rank as the 4th-best unit in football this year in covering receivers.

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