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Jake Ferguson

Jake Ferguson Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Dallas Cowboys

Jake Ferguson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-156/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +124 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cowboys to pass on 59.6% of their opportunities: the 5th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.

The leading projections forecast this game to have the most plays run among all games this week at 131.5 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.

This week, Jake Ferguson is forecasted by the predictive model to land in the 99th percentile among TEs with 7.5 targets.

Jake Ferguson's 22.3% Target Share this year reflects a noteable improvement in his pass attack utilization over last year's 16.4% figure.

With an exceptional 4.3 adjusted catches per game (91st percentile) since the start of last season, Jake Ferguson has been as one of the top pass-catching TEs in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.8 pass attempts per game against the Steelers defense this year: 4th-fewest in football.

Jake Ferguson's 69.0% Adjusted Catch% this season marks a noteworthy diminishment in his receiving proficiency over last season's 74.0% rate.

The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has allowed the 10th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (72.4%) versus tight ends since the start of last season (72.4%).

The Pittsburgh Steelers safeties profile as the 3rd-best collection of safeties in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

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