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Jake Ferguson

Jake Ferguson Receptions
Player Prop Week 19

Dallas Cowboys vs Green Bay Packers

Jake Ferguson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+115/-145).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the moment, the 5th-most pass-focused team in football (64.4% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Dallas Cowboys.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is anticipated by our trusted projection set to have only 129.3 offensive plays called: the 3rd-fewest among all games this week.

The 5th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Dallas Cowboys this year (a staggering 60.4 per game on average).

The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.

The model projects Jake Ferguson to total 6.9 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 94th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Cowboys are a heavy 7-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.

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