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Jake Ferguson

Jake Ferguson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Carolina Panthers vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Jake Ferguson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 37.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 35.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 37.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Cowboys will be rolling with backup quarterback Cooper Rush this week, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • At a -3-point disadvantage, the Cowboys are underdogs this week, indicating more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their usual approach.
  • The projections expect this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Cowboys have run the 3rd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a whopping 60.8 plays per game.
  • The leading projections forecast Jake Ferguson to accumulate 6.8 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 94th percentile among tight ends.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • After accumulating 36.0 air yards per game last year, Jake Ferguson has fallen off this year, currently pacing 29.0 per game.
  • As it relates to protecting the passer (and the influence it has on all passing offense metrics), the offensive line of the Cowboys ranks as the 3rd-worst in football this year.
  • Jake Ferguson's receiving effectiveness has worsened this year, averaging just 6.50 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 8.15 figure last year.

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