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Jake Ferguson

Jake Ferguson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Dallas Cowboys vs Cincinnati Bengals

Jake Ferguson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 40.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 37.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 40.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Cowboys may pass less in this week's contest (and call more carries) since they be forced to use backup quarterback Cooper Rush.

This week's line suggests a passing game script for the Cowboys, who are -4.5-point underdogs.

The leading projections forecast this game to have the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 135.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Dallas Cowboys have called the 3rd-most plays in football this year, averaging a massive 61.2 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Cowboys to pass on 63.1% of their opportunities: the 7th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.

Jake Ferguson has been less involved as a potential target this year (65.3% Route Participation% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (75.4%).

After accumulating 36.0 air yards per game last year, Jake Ferguson has undergone a big decline this year, currently pacing 29.0 per game.

When it comes to pocket protection (and the importance it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the Dallas Cowboys grades out as the worst in football this year.

Jake Ferguson's pass-game effectiveness has worsened this year, accumulating a mere 6.76 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 8.15 figure last year.

More Jake Ferguson Player Props

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