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Jake Ferguson

Jake Ferguson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Dallas Cowboys vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Jake Ferguson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 38.5 (-110/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 41.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 38.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Cowboys will be forced to utilize backup QB Cooper Rush in this contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • An extreme throwing game script is indicated by the Cowboys being a heavy -7.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
  • Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Dallas Cowboys to pass on 63.0% of their opportunities: the 3rd-highest rate on the slate this week.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is anticipated by the predictive model to have 132.0 total plays called: the 2nd-most out of all the games this week.
  • The Dallas Cowboys have called the 5th-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 60.8 plays per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Dallas offensive line ranks as the 3rd-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a harmful impact on all pass game statistics across the board.
  • Jake Ferguson's pass-game effectiveness has declined this year, accumulating just 6.87 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 8.15 mark last year.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles defense has allowed the 7th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (just 41.0) versus tight ends this year.
  • This year, the tough Eagles defense has conceded a measly 73.8% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing TEs: the 10th-smallest rate in football.
  • When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Philadelphia's LB corps has been great this year, projecting as the 5th-best in the NFL.

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