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Jake Ferguson
NFL · Player Props
Jake Ferguson
TE · Dallas Cowboys
Receiving Yards
Dallas Cowboys vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 8, 2023 Updated Oct 29, 2023 4:11 PM UTC
NFL Props Jake Ferguson Receiving Yards

Jake Ferguson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 31.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 26.5 @ -110.

Favors Over
  • The projections expect the Cowboys offensive gameplan to tilt 3.5% more towards the passing game than it did last season (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer now calling the plays.
  • Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Cowboys are predicted by our trusted projection set to run 65.5 plays on offense in this contest: the 10th-highest number on the slate this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Our trusted projections expect Jake Ferguson to earn 5.3 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 85th percentile among tight ends.
  • Jake Ferguson's 14.9% Target Rate this year conveys a noteable gain in his pass attack volume over last year's 4.5% rate.
Favors Under
  • With a 6.5-point advantage, the Cowboys are favored in this week's game, suggesting more of a focus on rushing than their typical approach.
  • The leading projections forecast the Cowboys as the 11th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 56.9% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Jake Ferguson's 76.8% Adjusted Catch% this year signifies a meaningful drop-off in his pass-catching ability over last year's 84.5% mark.
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