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Jake Ferguson
NFL · Player Props
Jake Ferguson
TE · Dallas Cowboys
Receiving Yards
Los Angeles Chargers vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 6, 2023 Updated Oct 16, 2023 11:11 PM EST
NFL Props Jake Ferguson Receiving Yards

Jake Ferguson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 36.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 36.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 36.5 @ -130.

Favors Over
  • Our trusted projections expect the Cowboys offensive scheme to skew 3.2% more towards the passing game than it did last season (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer now calling the plays.
  • The Chargers defense has been something of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing QBs to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (40.8 per game) this year.
  • The projections expect Jake Ferguson to total 5.5 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 87th percentile when it comes to tight ends.
  • Jake Ferguson's 17.1% Target Share this season marks a an impressive improvement in his air attack workload over last season's 4.5% mark.
  • Jake Ferguson has accumulated significantly more air yards this year (26.0 per game) than he did last year (4.0 per game).
Favors Under
  • The projections expect the Dallas Cowboys to be the least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 56.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The leading projections forecast the Cowboys to run the 5th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.7 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • Jake Ferguson's 76.1% Adjusted Completion Rate this year shows a a noteworthy decrease in his receiving skills over last year's 84.5% mark.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers pass defense has allowed the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (65.4%) versus tight ends this year (65.4%).
  • This year, the formidable Los Angeles Chargers pass defense has given up the 3rd-least yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing tight ends: a puny 3.4 YAC.
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