Jake Ferguson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

reorder

NFL · Player Props

Jake Ferguson

TE · Dallas Cowboys

Receiving Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 17, 2022 12:21 AM EST

Analysis

Jake Ferguson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (+100/-130).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run out of all the games this week at 138.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Opposing QBs have averaged 38.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.
The Philadelphia Eagles linebackers profile as the 8th-worst collection of LBs in the league this year in pass coverage.
The Dallas Cowboys O-line has given their quarterback 2.53 seconds before getting pressured (9th-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a strong impact on all air attack stats across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys to be the 8th-least pass-heavy offense in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 58.4% pass rate.
The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has surrendered the 10th-lowest Completion% in the league (65.3%) versus TEs this year (65.3%).
The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency against TEs this year, surrendering 6.21 yards-per-target to the position: the 7th-least in the league.
The Philadelphia Eagles pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a measly 2.40 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 7th-best in football since the start of last season.
The Dallas Cowboys have been faced with a stacked the box on just 13.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.