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Jake Browning

Jake Browning TD Passes
Player Prop Week 13

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Cincinnati Bengals

Jake Browning TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-275/+195).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -235 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -275.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Cincinnati Bengals may take to the air less in this contest (and call more carries) given that they be starting backup QB Jake Browning.

This week's spread suggests an extreme passing game script for the Bengals, who are giant -10.5-point underdogs.

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 65.6% of their opportunities: the 3rd-highest rate on the slate this week.

Our trusted projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 3rd-most pass-oriented team in the NFL near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 64.9% red zone pass rate.

In this week's game, Jake Browning is predicted by the projection model to wind up with the 6th-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 37.0.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Cincinnati Bengals are predicted by the projections to run just 61.5 plays on offense in this game: the fewest on the slate this week.

The Cincinnati Bengals have run the fewest plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 55.3 plays per game.

The Cincinnati O-line profiles as the worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.

The Jacksonville cornerbacks rank as the 4th-best collection of CBs in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

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