Jake Browning Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Jake Browning

NFL · Player Props

Jake Browning

QB · Cincinnati Bengals

Rushing Yards

Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 26, 2023 8:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Jake Browning Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In this contest, Jake Browning is expected by the projections to garner the 6th-most rush attempts among all QBs with 5.3.
While Jake Browning has earned 5.6% of his team's rush attempts in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be much more involved in Cincinnati's run game this week at 19.9%.
This year, the shaky Steelers run defense has been gouged for a massive 127.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing squads: the 10th-worst in the NFL.
The Pittsburgh Steelers defensive ends grade out as the 9th-worst DE corps in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.

Favors Under

The Cincinnati Bengals will be forced to start backup quarterback Jake Browning in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
At the present time, the 3rd-least run-focused team in football (32.9% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Cincinnati Bengals.
At the moment, the 3rd-most sluggish paced offense in the league (in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Bengals.
In regards to blocking for ball-carriers (and the effect it has on all ground game metrics), the O-line of the Bengals profiles as the 9th-worst in football last year.

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