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Jake Bobo

Jake Bobo Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Seattle Seahawks vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Jake Bobo Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-155/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -155.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Seahawks to be the 7th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 60.8% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to have 130.8 plays on offense called: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week.
  • Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) usually prompt increased passing efficiency, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and lower run volume.
  • The model projects Jake Bobo to be much more involved in his team's passing offense in this contest (11.8% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (4.2% in games he has played).
  • As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Los Angeles's unit has been atrocious this year, grading out as the 4th-worst in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing teams have averaged 30.9 pass attempts per game versus the Rams defense this year: 8th-fewest in football.
  • The Seattle Seahawks offensive line grades out as the 5th-worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a harmful influence on all pass attack stats across the board.
  • With a feeble 1.5 adjusted catches per game (21st percentile) this year, Jake Bobo places among the weakest wide receivers in the game in the league.
  • This year, the fierce Los Angeles Rams defense has allowed a measly 58.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wideouts: the 5th-lowest rate in football.

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