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Jake Bobo

Jake Bobo Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Seattle Seahawks vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Jake Bobo Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +160 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A rushing game script is suggested by the Seahawks being a 3-point favorite in this week's game.
  • Right now, the 7th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL (63.5% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Seahawks.
  • The Seattle Seahawks have run the 8th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 59.4 plays per game.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 36.7 pass attempts per game versus the Buffalo Bills defense this year: 7th-most in football.
  • Our trusted projections expect Jake Bobo to be a more integral piece of his offense's pass game in this contest (11.3% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (4.2% in games he has played).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 5th-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 126.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 16-mph being predicted in this game) typically prompt lessened passing effectiveness, lower pass volume, and higher rush volume.
  • When talking about protecting the passer (and the impact it has on all pass game stats), the offensive line of the Seahawks profiles as the 7th-worst in the league this year.
  • With a puny 1.6 adjusted receptions per game (23rd percentile) this year, Jake Bobo ranks among the bottom pass-catching wide receivers in football.

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