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Jake Bobo

Jake Bobo Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Jake Bobo Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+165/-215).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • An extreme throwing game script is implied by the Seahawks being a heavy -7-point underdog in this game.
  • Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Seahawks to pass on 63.9% of their opportunities: the 5th-highest clip among all teams this week.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 39.4 pass attempts per game against the 49ers defense this year: 4th-most in the league.
  • Jake Bobo profiles as one of the most sure-handed receivers in the league, completing an outstanding 82.6% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 94th percentile among wide receivers.
  • This year, the weak San Francisco 49ers pass defense has allowed a whopping 69.5% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wideouts: the 6th-worst rate in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Seattle Seahawks are anticipated by the model to run just 61.5 plays on offense in this game: the fewest on the slate this week.
  • The Seattle Seahawks have run the 8th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 56.0 plays per game.
  • As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, San Francisco's unit has been tremendous this year, projecting as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

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