Jake Bobo Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Jake Bobo

NFL · Player Props

Jake Bobo

WR · Seattle Seahawks

Receptions

Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 24, 2023 4:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Jake Bobo Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+165/-215).

Key Factors

Favors Over

An extreme throwing game script is implied by the Seahawks being a heavy -7-point underdog in this game.
Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Seahawks to pass on 63.9% of their opportunities: the 5th-highest clip among all teams this week.
Opposing offenses have averaged 39.4 pass attempts per game against the 49ers defense this year: 4th-most in the league.
Jake Bobo profiles as one of the most sure-handed receivers in the league, completing an outstanding 82.6% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 94th percentile among wide receivers.
This year, the weak San Francisco 49ers pass defense has allowed a whopping 69.5% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wideouts: the 6th-worst rate in the league.

Favors Under

Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Seattle Seahawks are anticipated by the model to run just 61.5 plays on offense in this game: the fewest on the slate this week.
The Seattle Seahawks have run the 8th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 56.0 plays per game.
As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, San Francisco's unit has been tremendous this year, projecting as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

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