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Jahmyr Gibbs

Jahmyr Gibbs Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Arizona Cardinals vs Detroit Lions

Jahmyr Gibbs Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 45.5 (-170/+125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 50.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 45.5 @ +125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A running game script is suggested by the Lions being a 4-point favorite in this week's game.

The Lions have run the 2nd-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 61.2 plays per game.

Jahmyr Gibbs has grinded out 65.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the biggest marks in football among RBs (91st percentile).

With a fantastic record of 5.51 adjusted yards per carry (90th percentile), Jahmyr Gibbs has been among the top pure rushers in the league this year.

Opposing offenses have rushed for the 3rd-most adjusted yards in the NFL (141 per game) vs. the Arizona Cardinals defense since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects this game to see the 4th-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 125.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.

When it comes to the safeties' role in run defense, Arizona's safety corps has been very good since the start of last season, projecting as the 4th-best in the league.

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