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Jahmyr Gibbs

Jahmyr Gibbs Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Houston Texans vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Jahmyr Gibbs Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 66.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 62.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 66.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's spread implies a rushing game script for the Lions, who are favored by 3.5 points.
  • The model projects the Lions to be the 9th-most run-heavy team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 41.1% run rate.
  • The model projects the Lions to run the 8th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.1 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • Out of all RBs, Jahmyr Gibbs ranks in the 80th percentile for rush attempts this year, accounting for 45.2% of the workload in his team's running game.
  • Jahmyr Gibbs has run for substantially more adjusted yards per game (86.0) this season than he did last season (65.0).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 8th-lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Lions this year (just 54.8 per game on average).
  • This year, the stout Houston Texans run defense has given up a puny 109.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing squads: the 10th-fewest in the NFL.

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