Jahmyr Gibbs Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Jahmyr Gibbs

NFL · Player Props

Jahmyr Gibbs

RB · Detroit Lions

Rushing Yards

Baltimore Ravens vs Detroit Lions · Week 7, 2023

Updated Oct 22, 2023 11:16 PM EST

Analysis

Jahmyr Gibbs Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 54.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 61.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 54.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In this contest, Jahmyr Gibbs is projected by the predictive model to place in the 95th percentile among running backs with 16.7 carries.
Our trusted projections expect Jahmyr Gibbs to be a more integral piece of his team's run game in this contest (62.7% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (32.8% in games he has played).
In regards to opening holes for runners (and the impact it has on all run game statistics), the O-line of the Lions profiles as the 5th-best in the NFL last year.
Jahmyr Gibbs has been one of the top running backs in the league at generating extra ground yardage, averaging an outstanding 3.15 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 79th percentile.

Favors Under

A throwing game script is implied by the Lions being a -3-point underdog in this week's contest.
The projections expect the Lions offense to be the 4th-most sluggish paced team in football (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 29.64 seconds per snap.
This year, the tough Ravens run defense has allowed a meager 95.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing teams: the 10th-fewest in the league.
The Ravens linebackers grade out as the 3rd-best collection of LBs in the NFL this year with their run defense.

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