Jahmyr Gibbs Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Jahmyr Gibbs

NFL · Player Props

Jahmyr Gibbs

RB · Detroit Lions

Rushing Yards

Detroit Lions vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 3, 2023

Updated Sep 24, 2023 11:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Jahmyr Gibbs Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (-105/-124).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 46.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 49.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Lions are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions to be the 5th-most run-centric team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 42.4% run rate.
THE BLITZ projects Jahmyr Gibbs to total 14.5 carries in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 78th percentile among RBs.
The Detroit Lions O-line ranks as the 5th-best in football since the start of last season in run blocking.
Opposing offenses have rushed for the 8th-most yards in the NFL (133 per game) versus the Atlanta Falcons defense since the start of last season.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions offense to be the 8th-worst paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 28.94 seconds per play.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
The Atlanta Falcons defensive tackles profile as the 4th-best group of DTs in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.

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