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Jahmyr Gibbs

Jahmyr Gibbs Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions

Jahmyr Gibbs Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (+102/-132).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 39.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 39.5 @ -132.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A running game script is suggested by the Lions being a 3-point favorite in this week's contest.

The predictive model expects the Detroit Lions as the 9th-most run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 44.8% run rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The 6th-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Lions this year (a staggering 60.9 per game on average).

Jahmyr Gibbs has been given 40.7% of his offense's rush attempts this year, ranking him in the 78th percentile among RBs.

In regards to run-blocking (and the significance it has on all run game statistics), the O-line of the Lions profiles as the 5th-best in football last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Lions are expected by the predictive model to run just 62.4 total plays in this contest: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.

This year, the formidable Chicago Bears run defense has allowed a puny 81.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing teams: the 2nd-fewest in the NFL.

As it relates to the linebackers' role in defending against the run, Chicago's unit has been outstanding this year, profiling as the 6th-best in football.

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