Jahmyr Gibbs Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Jahmyr Gibbs

NFL · Player Props

Jahmyr Gibbs

RB · Detroit Lions

Rushing Yards

Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 10, 2023 8:56 PM EST

Analysis

Jahmyr Gibbs Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (+102/-132).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 39.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 39.5 @ -132.

Key Factors

Favors Over

A running game script is suggested by the Lions being a 3-point favorite in this week's contest.
The predictive model expects the Detroit Lions as the 9th-most run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 44.8% run rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The 6th-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Lions this year (a staggering 60.9 per game on average).
Jahmyr Gibbs has been given 40.7% of his offense's rush attempts this year, ranking him in the 78th percentile among RBs.
In regards to run-blocking (and the significance it has on all run game statistics), the O-line of the Lions profiles as the 5th-best in football last year.

Favors Under

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Lions are expected by the predictive model to run just 62.4 total plays in this contest: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.
This year, the formidable Chicago Bears run defense has allowed a puny 81.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing teams: the 2nd-fewest in the NFL.
As it relates to the linebackers' role in defending against the run, Chicago's unit has been outstanding this year, profiling as the 6th-best in football.

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