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Jahmyr Gibbs

Jahmyr Gibbs Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Detroit Lions vs Chicago Bears

Jahmyr Gibbs Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 42.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 41.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 42.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 7.5-point advantage, the Lions are overwhelmingly favored in this week's game, implying much more of a focus on rushing than their standard approach.

The 5th-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Detroit Lions this year (a colossal 62.0 per game on average).

Among all running backs, Jahmyr Gibbs ranks in the 78th percentile for carries this year, comprising 43.3% of the workload in his team's running game.

The Lions O-line profiles as the 5th-best in football last year at blocking for the run game.

With a terrific record of 68.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (92nd percentile), Jahmyr Gibbs stands among the best pure rushers in football this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects this game to see the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 123.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

This year, the porous Bears run defense has been torched for a monstrous 3.44 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to the opposition's running game: the 32nd-highest rate in the league.

When it comes to the linebackers' role in run defense, Chicago's LB corps has been exceptional this year, projecting as the 5th-best in the NFL.

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