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Jahmyr Gibbs

Jahmyr Gibbs Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Detroit Lions vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Jahmyr Gibbs Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-155/+125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +130 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.
  • The projections expect Jahmyr Gibbs to notch 4.5 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 93rd percentile among RBs.
  • With a high 13.0% Target% (93rd percentile) this year, Jahmyr Gibbs places as one of the RB receiving threats with the highest volume in the league.
  • With an impressive 3.1 adjusted receptions per game (89th percentile) this year, Jahmyr Gibbs places among the top pass-catching running backs in football.
  • Jahmyr Gibbs's 83.9% Adjusted Catch% this year indicates a remarkable boost in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 73.7% rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Lions are an enormous 12.5-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • The projections expect the Lions as the 10th-least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 54.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 126.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been hesitant to rely on the passing game too much against the Tennessee Titans, totaling the 2nd-fewest attempts in football (a mere 29.0 per game) this year.
  • The Titans pass defense has conceded the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (79.4%) to RBs this year (79.4%).

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