My Account Log Out

reorder

Jahmyr Gibbs

Jahmyr Gibbs Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Arizona Cardinals vs Detroit Lions

Jahmyr Gibbs Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+110/-143).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -143.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Lions have run the 2nd-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 61.2 plays per game.

The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.

The projections expect Jahmyr Gibbs to earn 5.1 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 96th percentile when it comes to running backs.

With a top-tier 15.1% Target Rate (95th percentile) since the start of last season, Jahmyr Gibbs places as one of the pass-catching running backs with the highest volume in the NFL.

Jahmyr Gibbs profiles as one of the best running backs in the pass game since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 3.2 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 93rd percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is suggested by the Lions being a 4-point favorite in this week's game.

The model projects this game to see the 4th-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 125.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing offenses teams have been disinclined to rely on the passing game too much against the Cardinals, averaging the 2nd-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 29.2 per game) since the start of last season.

Jahmyr Gibbs profiles as one of the most unreliable receivers in football among RBs, hauling in just 72.3% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, grading out in the 22nd percentile.

More Jahmyr Gibbs Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™