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Jahmyr Gibbs

Jahmyr Gibbs Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Detroit Lions vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Jahmyr Gibbs Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+112/-146).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -192 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +112.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Detroit Lions to call the 6th-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The 7th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Detroit Lions since the start of last season (a massive 60.2 per game on average).
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has been a notorious pass funnel since the start of last season, eliciting opposing teams to attempt the 5th-most passes in the NFL (36.2 per game) since the start of last season.
  • Jahmyr Gibbs has run a route on 58.7% of his team's passing plays since the start of last season, placing him in the 96th percentile when it comes to RBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is indicated by the Lions being a 6-point favorite in this game.
  • Jahmyr Gibbs's 65.8% Adjusted Catch Rate this year illustrates a noteable reduction in his receiving ability over last year's 73.7% mark.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers safeties project as the best safety corps in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to rushing the passer.

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