Jahmyr Gibbs Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Jahmyr Gibbs

NFL · Player Props

Jahmyr Gibbs

RB · Detroit Lions

Receptions

Baltimore Ravens vs Detroit Lions · Week 7, 2023

Updated Oct 22, 2023 11:16 PM UTC

Analysis

Jahmyr Gibbs Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+108/-138).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -138.

Key Factors

Favors Over

A throwing game script is implied by the Lions being a -3-point underdog in this week's contest.
This week, Jahmyr Gibbs is anticipated by the projection model to slot into the 94th percentile when it comes to RBs with 5.0 targets.
Jahmyr Gibbs ranks in the 95th percentile when it comes to running back WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive volume) with a superb 22.6 figure this year.
As it relates to pass-blocking (and the positive impact it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Lions profiles as the best in the NFL this year.
With a stellar 3.5 adjusted catches per game (91st percentile) this year, Jahmyr Gibbs stands as one of the best RBs in the pass game in the league.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Lions offense to be the 4th-most sluggish paced team in football (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 29.64 seconds per snap.
The Baltimore Ravens safeties profile as the 2nd-best unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

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