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Jahmyr Gibbs

Jahmyr Gibbs Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Jahmyr Gibbs Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-152/+116).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -175 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +116.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The 6th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Lions this year (a massive 60.9 per game on average).
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • The projections expect Jahmyr Gibbs to total 5.5 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 96th percentile among running backs.
  • Jahmyr Gibbs has been in the 98th percentile among RB WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive involvement) with a whopping 25.3 figure this year.
  • When it comes to pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass game statistics), the offensive line of the Detroit Lions ranks as the 2nd-best in football this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Lions being a giant 8.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 5th-fewest plays run on the slate this week at 127.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been afraid to test the pass defense of the Green Bay Packers, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 33.4 per game) this year.

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