Jahmyr Gibbs Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Jahmyr Gibbs

NFL · Player Props

Jahmyr Gibbs

RB · Detroit Lions

Receptions

Los Angeles Chargers vs Detroit Lions · Week 10, 2023

Updated Nov 13, 2023 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Jahmyr Gibbs Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-174/+136).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +134 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +136.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Lions are expected by the predictive model to run 65.8 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-most on the slate this week.
The 5th-most plays in football have been called by the Detroit Lions this year (a monstrous 62.8 per game on average).
The Chargers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, enticing opposing QBs to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the NFL (41.0 per game) this year.
The projections expect Jahmyr Gibbs to earn 5.0 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 94th percentile among RBs.
Jahmyr Gibbs has been in the 98th percentile when it comes to RB WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive usage) with an astounding 24.4 mark this year.

Favors Under

The Lions rank as the 10th-least pass-centric team in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year with a 59.9% pass rate.

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