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Jahmyr Gibbs

Jahmyr Gibbs Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Dallas Cowboys vs Detroit Lions

Jahmyr Gibbs Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-135/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Detroit Lions to be the 8th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 59.4% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast the Lions to run the 2nd-most total plays among all teams this week with 67.0 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

The 10th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Detroit Lions this year (a whopping 59.8 per game on average).

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

The leading projections forecast Jahmyr Gibbs to notch 4.7 targets this week, on balance, putting him in the 98th percentile among running backs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to test the pass defense of the Cowboys, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in football (just 30.8 per game) this year.

Jahmyr Gibbs has accrued a puny -4.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 25th percentile when it comes to RBs.

Jahmyr Gibbs's 15.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive usage) has been significantly worse this season than it was last season at 22.1.

The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has given up the 3rd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (75.7%) to running backs since the start of last season (75.7%).

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